Bitcoin cycle model: rainbow, power law and phase progress
The SIMMENT Bitcoin Cycle Engine (BRC v7) places the BTC price inside long-term rainbow and power-law bands and combines that with accumulation and distribution scores, a temperature reading and phase progress to produce a 0 to 100 cycle score and a mode such as ACCUMULATION, NEUTRAL or DISTRIBUTE. It is an educational overlay built on the open-source Bitcoin Rainbow Wave model, not a signal service.
The bands
The rainbow chart draws logarithmic bands around a long-term regression of price against time; the power-law floor is a similar regression that has held every bear-market low so far. Where price sits between the floor and the upper bands is the "temperature" reading on the page.
Scores and phases
Accumulation and distribution scores blend temperature, momentum and time since the last halving into two percentages. The current phase (for example Bottom Window or Recovery) comes from the cycle clock; phase progress and days remaining are projections from historical cycle lengths, not forecasts. The model status turns to WARNING when inputs disagree.
How to use the page
Use the cycle page to decide what kind of market you are practising in, then trade the desk on the 1h chart. A NEUTRAL cycle mode with a bullish 1h setup is a normal day; a DISTRIBUTE mode with extreme greed is the moment to practise patience.
Quick answers
Is the cycle engine a prediction?
No. It is a model of where the current price sits relative to past cycles. Projections are illustrative.
This metric is a tile on the SIMMENT paper desk. Open a free account, get 10,000 virtual USDT and watch it on live Binance prices. Enter the desk → · iOS app
Educational content. Simulated trading only. Not financial advice. Updated 2026-09-06.